Showing posts with label infrastructure. Show all posts
Showing posts with label infrastructure. Show all posts

Wednesday, September 25, 2013

Eight rules for PPP policy makers

There are several papers regarding best practices in formulating PPP policies, but Public-Private Partnerships: Eight Rules for Governments (October 2008) by Aidan Vining and Anthony Boardman is probably one of the easiest to read.

This post is just a prĂ©cis of the paper (do go through the original). Though it is meant for policy-makers, the paper should be read by lenders and advisors trying to get a sense of potential risks that cannot be modeled mathematically on an excel sheet. It is especially informative for managers / financiers / consultants who work with projects in multiple geographies and have to deal with different deal structures and concessions.

The rules are simple enough:

1. Establish a jurisdictional PPP constitution

As far as possible, use existing constitutional institutions and constructs to ensure transparency in the contractual structure. Ensure public availability of contracts (except for legitimate trade secrets).

If such constitutional means are not already available, the legal & constitutional framework should be put in place before the PPP process gets underway. An well-structure framework also discourages parties from following 'win first, renegotiate later' policies.

2. Separate the analysis, evaluation, contracting / administration, and oversight agencies

Separate the agencies that (a) analyzes projects feasibility, including social cost-benefit analysis; (b) decides which of the alternative provisioning modes to employ (government production, contracting or P3); (c) organizes the tendering of bids, selects the partners, makes the final decision whether to proceed with a P3 (or not) and monitors the implementation of the contract; and (d) evaluates the overall success of projects.

Though this step introduces several layers of bureaucracy, it ensures the avoidance of the conflicts of interest which would exist if all these functions came under the same body. Discrete, independent bodies also reduce the chances of a project being undertaken due to political or external pressures, rather than the primary motive: highest social benefit with lowest possible social cost.

3. Ensure that the bidding process is reasonably competitive

The policy should be to ensure that a sufficient number of serious bidders are competing with the project. Public sector companies should also be encouraged to participate in bidding.

This ensures that the competitors put up their most cost-efficient bids, and makes it difficult for bidders to raise costs through collusion and cartelization. A sufficient number of bidders also reduces the risk of the process being rigged or influenced, and thereby being at the risk of legal action or review at a later point of time.

4. Be wary of projects that exhibit high complexity and uncertainty

Any infrastructure project involves some form of complexity or uncertainty. Change in costs, changes in design or scope over the construction period should be expected and accounted for in the contractual framework. However, political changes, unexpected events, changes in law during the project lifetime cannot be anticipated in advance.

Therefore, the framework must include a provision for a simplified, low-cost process for renegotiation when the changes are not under control of the public or private parties involved in the project.

Additionally, it is wise for both parties to ensure that any unnecessary complications (unproven technology, unrealistic milestones, etc) are not introduced by the counter-party in the pre-construction phase.

Projects that can be broken into discrete packages, should be broken down and tendered separately.

5. Include standardized, fast, low-cost dispute resolution / arbitration procedures

Disputes take a lot of time to reach a resolution or a conclusion. They are extremely expensive and increase transaction costs due to legal fees, capitalized interest expenses, insurance expenses, project management costs, etc. 

The bigger issue is that the longer an infrastructure project takes to complete, the more its viability comes under question by investors, lenders and suppliers. If the project loses the support of investors and lenders, it can be quite difficult to restart and conclude the project.

Stakeholders in such long-term projects occasionally find themselves in situations where they do not necessarily agree with each other, and a solid dispute resolution process goes a long way towards attracting potential investors.

6. Avoid standalone deals with Private Sector shells bringing limited equity

PPP projects are often undertaken by private parties through project-specific SPVs. This allows them to finance these projects off-balance sheet, at a higher leverage than would have been possible if the project were financed on the parent company's balance sheet. The SPV structure simplifies tax assessments, transfer of project assets at project closure, etc. and therefore is a widely accepted structure.

However, it is important for lenders and policymakers to ensure that leverage does not reduce the equity requirement to a level where the promoter is incentivised to abandon a project rather than work towards a solution, in case that the project does not perform as per expectations.

7. Prevent the Private party from exiting the contract / project too early

The riskiest phase in the tenure of the concession is the construction phase. Therefore, the valuation of a project jumps as soon as the project is operational. This means that a developer has the incentive to sell the project and recover the invested capital as soon as the construction period is past. If this is allowed the developer may just complete a project, book their profits and leave without any further liability.

Therefore it is important to ensure that developers are present during the post-completion liability period, thereby forcing them to maintain construction standards and avoid under-investment during the construction phase.

8. Have a direct conduit to lenders / debt holders

Most PPP projects are too large to be secured with collateral. Since project assets are to be transferred to the government at the end of the concession period, the contract usually does not allow for a way to recover the outstanding debt by liquidating the project assets. Thus, projects debt is mostly unsecured in nature.

Therefore, financing a project is going to be difficult if lenders do not have some sort of recourse to the authority which awarded the contract. In the event of a default due to the concessionaire / developer, there must be a mechanism for lenders to approach the authority for redressal.

Wednesday, May 12, 2010

Indian ports to get improved rail and road connectivity

Sources:
Economic Times (9 May 2010)http://bit.ly/aOuKyl

The government has been pondering rail & road links to ports since quite a while now, but the infrastructure boom in India appears to have given it the final push. In all, 276 projects costing about Rs 55,804 crore have been identified, of which 48 projects have been completed, 70 are under implementation and 89 projects are under planning, according to data from the Shipping Ministry. The projects are part of the government's National Maritime Development Programme, a Rs 61,000-crore project to boost infrastructure at ports. Most of these projects are expected to be executed under the PPP model, which has turned out to be resounding policy success for the government.

While the Economic Times article mentions only the major ports, even some of the larger 'minor' ports are getting upgraded connectivity links. Projects that I know of:

  • Chennai Elevated Tollway between Chennai port and Maduravoyal
  • Upgradation of current road connectivity between Krishnapatnam Port and NH-5, in addition to the new 24km railroad connection from the port to the main trunk line
For further research and reading, I attach a (slightly dated) report by the Indian Planning Commission:

Rail Report

Thursday, May 6, 2010

India Infrastructure Reports

The India Infrastructure Report is published annually by 3i, and contains articles and essays by experts on the latest trends and issues in the Indian infrastructure sector. 

The 2009 report deals with land acquisition and R&R, which is fast coming up as one of the major factors in project risks and execution cost, for both private sector projects and government aided PPP projects. Recent land/R&R controversies that come to mind are the Narmada dam issue, Tata Nano in Singur (West Bengal), Vedanta Steel.

The 2008 report is an excellent read for people wishing to get a feel for the PPP models applied in different infrastructure sectors such as roads, power, airports, ports, etc.

Keep an eye open for the 2010 report on this space (not here for another 3-4 months, I reckon); I'll put it up as soon as I find it. But till then, the 2009 & 2008 editions are well worth the read.

India Infrastructure Report 2009: http://bit.ly/bA9Ci3
India Infrastructure Report 2008: http://bit.ly/dwwzFF

Monday, May 3, 2010

Raising debt just became easier! (for infra companies)

Sources:
Economic Times (29 Apr 2010): http://bit.ly/aLi8LE
ICAI.org (ECB guidelines 2004): http://bit.ly/dBxMyR


Infrastructure companies may soon be able to refinance part of their domestic debt through borrowings overseas. This will allow them to raise funding from a wider range of sources, and give them access to cheaper loans as interest rates head higher in India. A high-level committee on ECB, managed jointly by the finance ministry and RBI, had discussed the proposal in relation to funding of power equipment but opened a window to allow refinancing of debt taken for equipment purchases for other infra sectors as well. 

Currently, companies can borrow overseas at an average rate including currency hedging costs at around 9-10% (LIBOR + 450-500 bp spread + 3-4% hedging cost), which is still lower than domestic credit. However, for some sectors in infrastructure like ports which have income in foreign currency, it may turn out to be even cheaper since hedging costs do not have to be accounted for.

Long-term financing is not easily available from the local lenders, particularly banks that have a asset-liability mismatch issue when they provide long-term funding from their deposit funds that typically have a 3-5 year maturity. Moreover, India will need over $1 trillion of funds over the twelfth plan for the infrastructure sector. A greater access to overseas funds will help raise cheaper funds for executing infrastructure projects. 

The selective nature of the relaxation, limiting refinancing to only equipment purchases, was due to concerns over capital inflows and their monetary policy implications. Capital flows into emerging economies such as India are expected to rise with recovery in the global economy. 

The concern was echoed by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) governor. “The surge in capital flows into some emerging market economies even as the crisis is not yet fully behind us has seen the return of the familiar question - the advisability of imposing a Tobin type tax on capital flows.”